Updated monthly, straight from the data

The energy transition is winnable.

Not because it's easy (it isn't), but because it's already happening, faster every year. Here's the real, live scoreboard.

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Where things stand

The planet has already warmed +0.00°C above pre-industrial levels.

That's real, and it's not the whole story. What happened next is the part most people haven't caught up on.

Then the money moved

Clean energy now pulls in 0.0x the investment fossil fuels do.

$2.2T versus $1.1T this year. A decade ago those numbers were close to even.

Because the hardware got cheap

EV batteries dropped 0%. Solar dropped 0%.

Since 2010. That's not a subsidy story, that's a cost story, and cost stories don't reverse.

So the adoption curve bent

0% of new cars sold are now electric. 0.0% of the world's electricity is renewable, ahead of coal for the first time in a century.

Here's the live scoreboard.

New Cars Sold That Are Electrici

2025
0%
of new cars sold, electric

Target: 100% by 2035

26 pts behind the pace needed

World Electricity From Renewablesi

2025
0.0%

of world electricity, renewable

Target: 100% by 2040

20 pts behind the pace needed

Where Global Energy Money Is Flowingi

2025
Clean energy$0.0T
Fossil fuels$0.0T
Clean energy now outspends fossil fuels 2.0x

Global Temperature vs. Pre-Industriali

2025
+0.00°C

above pre-industrial levels

We've already cut the worst-case outcome nearly in half.

Unchecked, warming was on track for roughly 4°C by 2100. Today's policies now point to about 2.7°C, still far too hot, but proof the trajectory bends when action scales.

Why the Curve Keeps Bending

Adoption charts get the attention, but this is the underlying reason they're accelerating: the hardware got radically cheaper.

🔋 Cost of an EV Battery Pack

-0%
2010$1,474/kWh
2025$108/kWh

2010 figure is inflation-adjusted to real 2025 dollars. This is the single biggest reason EVs went from a novelty to a quarter of global car sales.

BloombergNEF, 2025 Lithium-Ion Battery Price Survey

☀️ Cost to Build Utility-Scale Solar

-0%
2010$5,283/kW
2024$691/kW

Solar is now one of the cheapest ways to generate electricity in most of the world, not a subsidized niche.

IRENA, Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2024

Where This Sits on the Adoption Curve

This is an illustrative framework, the classic technology diffusion S-curve (Rogers, 1962; popularized for tech by Moore's Crossing the Chasm), not a line fitted to our own data. The curve shape is conceptual; the marker position is our real current value.

EV sales share (25%)

16%
NicheMainstream

Currently in the Early Majority phase, past the dashed 16% line: the point where a new technology has historically either stalled or gone mainstream.

Renewables share (33.8%)

16%
NicheMainstream

Currently in the Early Majority phase, past the dashed 16% line: the point where a new technology has historically either stalled or gone mainstream.

Then vs. Now

Drag through the years we actually have data for, 2015 to 2025. Not every year has a real figure for both metrics, we show "no data" rather than guess.

New cars sold, electric

25%

+24.0% since 2015

World electricity, renewable

33.8%

+10.9% since 2015

Share This Snapshot

Today's numbers as an image, worth re-sharing every time they move.

Bending the Curve

The energy transition is winnable.

25%

new cars, electric

33.8%

electricity, renewable

2.0x

clean vs. fossil investment

+1.47°C

above pre-industrial

thecurvebends.com · 2026-08-01 · IEA · Ember · Copernicus

Explore by Country

213 countries and territories shown, mostly 2024 to 2025 data. EV share isn't tracked for every market, those show as unshaded. Click or press Enter on any shaded country for its full breakdown and source. On a phone, the shapes are small, use search or the continent buttons below instead of trying to tap precisely.

Data Changelog

Corrections to the numbers on this site.

  • Correction
    2026-08-01 2024 temperature was off by 0.05°C (had 1.55, should be 1.60 per Copernicus). Fixed.
  • Correction
    2026-08-01 Swapped placeholder country stats for real numbers and grew coverage from 35 countries to 213.